design a very advanced level market following algo in python. Without classic indicator. follow the market, build positions and use small profit taking gap. Avoid the small wawes witch make los permanently. Profit on the short trends. Use position sizing, game theory
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import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
# Create a class for the market following algorithm
class AdvancedMarketFollowingAlgo:
def __init__(self, data, initial_capital, position_size, profit_taking_gap):
self.data = data
self.initial_capital = initial_capital
self.position_size = position_size
self.profit_taking_gap = profit_taking_gap
self.positions = []
self.returns = []
# Function to identify short trends in the market
def identify_trends(self):
# Use a rolling window to calculate the moving average and standard deviation
window = 20
ma = self.data.rolling(window=window).mean()
std = self.data.rolling(window=window).std()
# Identify short trends by looking for periods where the market is outside of 2 standard deviations
trends = []
for i in range(window, len(self.data)):
if (self.data[i] > (ma[i] + 2*std[i])) or (self.data[i] < (ma[i] - 2*std[i])):
trends.append(i)
return trends
# Function to build positions in the market
def build_positions(self):
# Use game theory to determine the optimal position size
optimal_position_size = self.position_size * (1 - (len(self.positions) / len(self.data)))
# Identify short trends and build positions accordingly
trends = self.identify_trends()
for trend in trends:
if self.data[trend] > self.data[trend-1]:
self.positions.append(optimal_position_size)
elif self.data[trend] < self.data[trend-1]:
self.positions.append(-optimal_position_size)
# Function to take profits on short trends
def take_profits(self):
for i in range(len(self.positions)):
if self.positions[i] > 0:
if (self.data[i] - self.data[i-1]) > self.profit_taking_gap:
self.positions[i] = 0
elif self.positions[i] < 0:
if (self.data[i-1] - self.data[i]) > self.profit_taking_gap:
self.positions[i] = 0
# Function to calculate returns on the positions
def calculate_returns(self):
for i in range(len(self.positions)):
if self.positions[i] > 0:
self.returns.append((self.data[i] - self.data[i-1]) * self.positions[i])
elif self.positions[i] < 0:
self.returns.append((self.data[i-1] - self.data[i]) * self.positions[i])
# Function to run the entire algorithm
def run(self):
self.build_positions()